Consumer Credit Matters Weekly · Issue No. 3
June 15, 2026
Every Monday, 6:30 AM ET · 8-minute read · No paywall
01

Briefings

May CPI's energy spike is the subprime tax

May CPI: +0.5% MoM, +4.2% YoY — hottest annual pace since April 2023, and energy did the work as crude spiked on the Iran-war disruption. A gas shock is a regressive levy on subprime auto and card borrowers who burn more of a stretched paycheck on fuel. The goods side stayed soft against a hot headline: new-vehicle CPI +0.2% YoY, used −2.0% YoY. So, pain at the pump, not the dealer. Energy headline keeps the Fed higher-for-longer. Watch the subprime-auto delinquency curves.

Credit card charge-offs eased to 3.67%

  • Credit-card performance data from the Fed show charge-off rate eased to 3.67% from 4.02%. The latest print continues a stabilizing trend off the cycle highs.  
  • The credit-card 30+ DQ rate slipped to 2.80% from 2.83%, corroborating the charge-off read.
  • No card ABS in this week's tape.

Exeter prints into a record-DQ subprime backdrop

Exeter 2026-3 (A-3 AAA, $209M) keeps the nonprime shelf busy even as collateral stays under stress. The presale shows credit enhancement levels staying high to absorb generally higher loss expectations for subprime auto collateral. Other high-level collateral and structural metrics look broadly consistent with recent Exeter deals. Exeter's book is essentially all used, so the used-vehicle CPI (down 2.0% YoY) matters. See Exeter's loan-by-loan vintage performance here

Prime captives carry the week's auto-ABS slate; nonprime print stays small

  • This week was a captive/prime parade: Hyundai 2026-B (A-3 AAA, $753M, WAL 2.42), Ford Credit 2026-B ($440M), Porsche lease 2026-1 (A-3 AAA, $354M, WAL 1.9).
  • CarMax 2026-B A-3 cleared I+57 at a 1.93 WAL, the lone nonprime-adjacent benchmark alongside Exeter 2026-3's smaller $209M print.
  • Affordability is the through-line, with the avg new-auto loan amount at $42.5k (+6.5% YoY).
  • Issuance is broadly healthy even as nonprime collateral performance stays challenged.
02

New Deals

5 publicly-registered issues priced

Click any row to open the CCM Issuance table. SEC publicly registered transactions only — 144A and private placements excluded.

Issuer / Series Asset class PSR Close Size ($MM) WAL WA FICO
Hyundai Auto Receivables Trust 2026-B Auto Loan Jun 17 2,408.5 2.42 774
Ford Credit Auto Owner Trust 2026-B Auto Loan 1,379.4 752
CarMax Select Receivables Trust 2026-B Auto Loan Jun 16 546.3 1.93 612
Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2026-3 Auto Loan Jun 15 1,044.4 584
Porsche Innovative Lease Owner Trust 2026-1 Auto Lease Jun 12 911.0 1.90 796

View the full Issuance table on CCM →

03

Loan-Level Pulse

Reproducible signals · ABS-EE surveillance

A few signals from this week's loan-level tape — each links to the exact view on CCM so you can reproduce it. Explore the full data ›

This week's spotlight

Honda — 30+ DPD

30+ DPD · 12-month time series
0.89% +17bp YoY

Honda — 30+ DPD trend reversed — 3-mo move flipped against the prior run.

04

Macro

Rates · Used cars · Consumer
05

From the Pod

This week's episode
YouTube
Latest episode · Released Jun 12

Carvana's New-Car Gambit ft. Charlie O'Shea | E29

On this week's pod, Charles O'Shea and I get into Carvana's two-pronged push into new cars — and why franchise dealers are uneasy. One front: Carvana is buying dealerships and selling new cars, with early numbers strong enough that Stellantis is trying to tap the brakes. The other: it's backing Slate Auto, the Bezos-funded startup promising an affordable made-in-America EV by year-end, with Carvana as the sales channel.

Watch on YouTube ›
06

On Deck

Data releases · ABS-EE filings · events

Macro releases

ABS-EE filings expected