Consumer Credit Matters Weekly · Issue No. 1
June 01, 2026
Every Monday, 6:30 AM ET · 8-minute read · No paywall
01

Briefings

Card ABS Prints Into a Weakening Consumer

WSJ flags the $1.25T card-debt pile and the highest delinquencies since the financial crisis, with borrowers anchored by ~26% APRs and what the piece calls 'survival debt.' The macro backdrop for trust receivables is, charitably, deteriorating: consumer sentiment (UMich) sits at 49.8, down 4.6% YoY, and real disposable income is off 1.1% YoY. Card master trusts are pricing into a consumer running down savings to service revolving balances at punitive rates — not the setup AAA spreads imply.

SFA tells SEC: don't let a 1930s rule snag ABS quotes

The Structured Finance Association's May 18 comment letter backs the SEC's plan to refocus broker-quotation requirements under Rule 15c2-11 on equities, but warns the rule's underlying definitions — drafted in the 1930s around business trusts and profit-sharing arrangements — could still sweep in trust certificates and residual interests. SFA's ask: add a fixed-income definition tied to Rule 192(c), hardening the SEC's 2021 no-action relief. Per SFA, securitization funds roughly 60% of U.S. housing and 15% of auto debt. If dealers face equity-style review on every ABS CUSIP, they'll quote less, and holders pay in spread.

A Million Missing Buyers Reshape Auto-ABS Pools

The WSJ argues roughly a million would-be new-car buyers per year are gone and not coming back, squeezed out by sticker prices and financing costs. Our dashboard backs the affordability thesis: light-vehicle sales (SAAR) printed 15.9M, down 7.1% YoY, against real disposable income off 1.1% and consumer sentiment at 49.8. The collateral implication: expect longer terms, higher LTVs, and more used-vehicle pools, with new-car origination concentrating in captives.

Card tape stays orderly; auto benchmarks compress

  • Chase ($1.25B) and FNMNT ($500M) both clear AAA at WAL 2.97 — no spread disclosed, but size and tenor say the bid for card AAA is unchanged.
  • Nissan 2026-A A-3 prints I+44 at WAL 2.33; Carvana 2026-P2 A-3 lands I+68 at WAL 2.26 — near-identical tenor, 24bp apart.
  • That 24bp Carvana-over-Nissan basis is the cleanest live read on where the market is pricing used-heavy, deeper-credit auto collateral against a prime captive benchmark.
02

New Deals

4 publicly-registered issues priced

Click any row to open the CCM Issuance table. SEC publicly registered transactions only — 144A and private placements excluded.

Issuer / Series Asset class PSR Closed Size ($MM) WAL WA FICO
Chase Issuance Trust CHASEseries Class A(2026-1) Credit Card May 28 1,250.0 2.97 737
First National Master Note Trust Series 2026-1 Asset Backed Notes Credit Card May 28 641.0 2.97 736
Nissan Auto Receivables 2026-A Owner Trust Auto Loan May 27 1,268.5 2.33 787
Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2026-P2 Auto Loan May 27 1,045.3 2.26 708

View the full Issuance table on CCM →

03

Loan-Level Pulse

Reproducible signals · ABS-EE surveillance

A few signals from this week's loan-level tape — each links to the exact view on CCM so you can reproduce it. Explore the full data ›

This week's spotlight

Exeter — CNL by deal vintage

Cumulative net loss · deal issuance vintage
4.90% −3.85pp vs prior vintage

Exeter — 2025 deal-vintage CNL 4.90% at month 14 — 3.85pp below the 2024 deal vintage at the same age.

This week's tape

This week's loan-level tape — Exeter — 2025 deal-vintage CNL 4.90% at month 14 — 3.85pp below the 2024 deal vintage at the same age; Santander — 2025 deal-vintage CNL 4.32% at month 14 — 2.08pp below the 2024 deal vintage at the same age; Bridgecrest — 2025 deal-vintage CNL 6.05% at month 12 — 4.91pp below the 2024 deal vintage at the same age; Honda — 60+ DPD trend reversed — 3-mo move flipped against the prior run.

04

Macro

Rates · Used cars · Consumer
05

From the Pod

This week's episode
YouTube
Latest episode · Released May 27

25% Margin. 25% Tariff. Do the Math.

Watch the latest episode on YouTube.

Watch on YouTube ›
06

On Deck

Data releases · ABS-EE filings · events

Macro releases

ABS-EE filings expected