Presale Report  ·  Data as of 2024-07-23

Ford Credit Auto Lease Trust 2024-B Auto Lease prime FINAL · CLOSED 2024-07-23

Notes
$1,451.3MM
Pool
$1,560.5MM
WA Resid
49.2%
Sub. notes
12.9%
Sponsor: Ford Motor Credit Company LLC  ·  Servicer: Ford Motor Credit Company LLC  ·  Trustee: U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association

Capital Structure

ClassSize ($MM)% of PoolEnhancementWALCouponSpreadLegal FinalS&PMoody'sFitch
Class A-1124.07.9%20.15%0.225.46%+12 I-curve2025-08-15—P-1F1+
Class A-2A183.011.7%20.15%—5.18%—2027-02-15AAA——
Class A-2B340.621.8%20.15%—floating+40 SOFR2027-02-15AAA——
Class A-3523.533.5%20.15%1.964.99%+60 I-curve2027-12-15AAAAaaAAA
Class A-478.95.1%20.15%2.444.99%+71 I-curve2028-01-15AAAAaaAAA
Class B56.23.6%16.55%2.545.18%+93 I-curve2028-02-15AAAa1AA
Class Cretained70.24.5%12.05%2.67——2028-03-15—Aa2—
Class D74.94.8%7.25%2.78——2029-05-15—A1—

Enhancement: subordinate notes, overcollateralization and reserve beneath the class, as a share of the pool net of any yield supplement (the adjusted pool, as the issuers and rating agencies measure it); the Class A notes share losses pari passu, so each carries the same figure. Spread: basis points over the benchmark named beside it, from the pricing term sheet — the interpolated curve for fixed-rate classes, 30-day average SOFR for floaters; the two are not comparable. A class marked retained was kept by the depositor, as the prospectus states.

Transaction Parties

SponsorFord Motor Credit Company LLC
ServicerFord Motor Credit Company LLC
Depositor / TransferorFord Credit Auto Lease Two LLC
Indenture TrusteeU.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association
Owner TrusteeThe Bank of New York Mellon
Asset Rep. ReviewerClayton Fixed Income Services LLC
UnderwritersDeutsche Bank Securities, Wells Fargo Securities, BofA Securities, TD Securities, U.S. Bancorp Investments

Issuer Track Record

Earliest Ford Credit Auto Lease Trust transaction in our coverage — no prior issuance to compare.

Peer Set

FCALT 2024-BMBALT 2024-AGMALT 2024-2WOALT 2024-ASource
Collateral (pool at cut-off)
Closing date2024-07-232024-05-232024-05-162024-04-17424B5
Pool balance$1,560.5MM$1,450.0MM$1,521.8MM$991.2MM424B5
WA Lessee Credit Score764−17787781747424B5
WA original term mo35.8−2.541.6 mo35.0 mo38.3 mo424B5
WA Residual % MSRP49.2%45.0%53.1%57.4%calc
ALG-marked residuals81.3%89.4%96.0%100.0%calc
WA Securitization Value$34,117$55,129$32,378$29,019calc
Top-3 model concentration52.2%21.3%37.9%34.1%calc
Geo top-3MI 38.7%
NY 11.6%
CA 6.7%
CA 29.3%
FL 14.8%
NY 13.1%
MI 29.3%
NY 16.1%
FL 8.5%
FL 62.5%
NC 15.7%
GA 7.7%
424B5
Enhancement beneath the AAA term notes
Enhancement, initial20.15%+3.15pp12.50%19.15%17.00%calc
Enhancement, target22.95%12.50%21.65%18.75%calc
Subordinate notes12.9%+8.2pp0.0%10.9%4.7%calc
Initial OC7.00%12.25%8.00%11.75%424B5
Target OC9.80%12.25%10.50%13.50%424B5
Reserve account0.25%0.25%0.25%0.50%424B5
Pricing
AAA spread+60 bps−3bps
A-3 · 2.0y
+63 bps
A-3 · 2.3y
+62 bps
A-3 · 2.0y
+64 bps
A-3 · 2.3y
FWP
Terms
Discount rate10.25%11.35%9.50%10.80%424B5
Tranches8586FWP

Enhancement: subordinate notes, overcollateralization and the reserve account as a share of the cutoff-date pool — the losses the pool can absorb before the AAA term notes are touched. AAA spread: the pricing spread over the interpolated curve for the fixed-rate AAA class whose weighted-average life is nearest two years, with that class and its WAL shown; floating-rate classes are never used. Source: 424B5 = final prospectus, FWP = pricing term sheet, calc = derived from the above. Deltas are against the peer median; green means more protection, or a cheaper price for it, for the noteholder.

Historical Performance Context

Anchor expectations in empirical base rates from the sponsor's prior series and FICO-tier peer set.

60+ DPD by seasoning — FCALT recent series0.08%0.15%0.23%0.31%M0M6M12M18Seasoning (months from first reporting)60+ DPD rateFCALT 2026-BFCALT 2026-AFCALT 2025-BFCALT 2025-A
Lease maturity profile — FCALT 2024-B2.1%4.2%6.3%8.3%2024-11: 0.01%2024-12: 0.29%2025-01: 0.71%2025-02: 0.76%2025-03: 1.06%2025-04: 1.35%2025-05: 1.36%2025-06: 1.44%2025-07: 1.50%2025-08: 1.90%2025-09: 2.03%2025-10: 2.32%2025-11: 2.62%2025-12: 3.45%2026-01: 2.63%2026-02: 2.41%2026-03: 3.05%2026-04: 4.93%2026-05: 2.47%2026-06: 2.73%2026-07: 3.42%2026-08: 3.86%2026-09: 5.10%2026-10: 3.96%2026-11: 4.50%2026-12: 4.99%2027-01: 4.21%2027-02: 4.32%2027-03: 4.89%2027-04: 7.25%2027-05: 3.06%2027-06: 3.89%2027-07: 2.43%2027-08: 0.40%2027-09: 0.39%2027-10: 0.35%2027-11: 0.47%2027-12: 0.53%2028-01: 0.40%2028-02: 0.62%2028-03: 0.79%2028-04: 1.10%2028-05: 0.03%2028-06: 0.04%2028-07: 0.00%2028-09: 0.00%Nov-24May-25Nov-25Jun-26Dec-26Jul-27Jan-28Sep-28Maturity monthBase residual maturity (%)
Latest CRR103.32%
Realized G/L (% of scheduled)3.32%
Returned vehicles to date13,439

CRR = realized residual ÷ scheduled residual on returned vehicles. >100% = pool recovered above booked residuals.